Auerbach vs Meuselwitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+156%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
GER
0 - 3
AUE
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
AUE
2 - 2
BDR
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MAG
1 - 1
AUE
76%
17%
8%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AUE
2 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
ZWI
1 - 1
AUE
37%
27%
37%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Meuselwitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MEU
2 - 0
POS
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
GWW
0 - 1
MEU
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MEU
4 - 1
ROT
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
EIL
0 - 0
MEU
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MEU
4 - 0
GER
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |