Auerbach vs Chemnitzer FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
AUE
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AUE
4 - 3
DYN
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 3
AUE
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
AUE
1 - 0
LOK
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BUD
4 - 2
AUE
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 4
FCH
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DYN
1 - 0
CHE
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 2
CHE
38%
25%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
VFL
0 - 2
CHE
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |