Auerbach vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HER
1 - 2
AUE
70%
17%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AUE
1 - 1
SCH
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NEU
3 - 0
AUE
68%
18%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
AUE
0 - 3
CZJ
21%
23%
57%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 1
AUE
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 3
BFC
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BFC
1 - 2
CZJ
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
BFC
0 - 2
FSV
14%
20%
67%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
GER
2 - 6
BFC
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
BFC
0 - 3
ZWI
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |