Auerbach vs Altglienicke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BAB
3 - 0
AUE
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AUE
1 - 1
GER
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AUE
0 - 2
CHL
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIK
3 - 2
AUE
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AUE
3 - 2
MEU
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Altglienicke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ALT
5 - 2
CZJ
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BAK
2 - 0
ALT
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ALT
5 - 0
LOK
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 3
ALT
41%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 1
BAB
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |