Audax Italiano vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACS
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
ACS
2 - 2
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
ACS
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ACS
2 - 2
ULC
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
ACS
4 - 1
CUR
81%
13%
5%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEP
78%
15%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
59%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
UCO
3 - 2
CSL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |