Audax Italiano vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ACS
2 - 0
COB
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
ACS
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SWA
1 - 2
ACS
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 3
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
ACS
2 - 1
NEC
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCO
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CDM
3 - 2
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
OHI
4 - 2
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 2
UNI
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 1
SWA
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |