Audax Italiano vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ANT
3 - 0
ACS
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 0
OHI
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACS
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 0
CSD
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 4
ACS
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
UCO
3 - 5
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
SCI
0 - 0
UCO
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
SCI
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CDM
3 - 5
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |