FK Auda vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FKS
7 - 0
AUD
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
AUD
4 - 0
RCR
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
FKT
2 - 0
AUD
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
REZ
2 - 0
AUD
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
LME
4 - 0
AUD
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LME
7 - 2
BFC
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FSM
2 - 0
BFC
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
RIG
2 - 4
BFC
69%
18%
12%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
BFC
4 - 2
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
FKJ
0 - 3
BFC
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |