Auckland City vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
31%
25%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
AUC
4 - 2
WAI
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
AUC
2 - 1
TEA
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2005 |
SOU
2 - 3
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
CAN
0 - 3
AUC
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
4 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
WAI
0 - 0
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 1
TEA
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
4 - 3
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |