Auckland City vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
14
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 3
AUC
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAO
0 - 2
AUC
7%
14%
79%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OTU
1 - 5
AUC
12%
16%
72%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 1
WCR
81%
12%
7%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WES
1 - 1
AUC
16%
19%
65%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 0
HAW
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 2
ECB
41%
21%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAO
3 - 3
HAW
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HAW
3 - 3
MAN
38%
21%
41%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 1
AFC
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |