Aucas vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
AUC
1 - 2
TEC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
UCE
3 - 1
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
AUC
1 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 1
AUC
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LDU
2 - 1
AUC
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
MAN
60%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
LDU
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
AUC
1 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 3
UCE
32%
26%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
TEC
1 - 1
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |