Aucas vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
LDU
0 - 1
AUC
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 1
ESP
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 1
AUC
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AUC
5 - 1
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 0
AUC
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
IMB
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DEL
0 - 0
MAC
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
DPT
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 2
BSC
29%
29%
41%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAC
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |