Aucas vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
4 - 2
AUC
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
AUC
1 - 2
QUI
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AUC
0 - 0
EME
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 4
AUC
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
AUC
2 - 1
CUE
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MAC
3 - 2
EME
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 1
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 0
CUE
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAC
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
QUI
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |