Aucas vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 0
AUC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AUC
5 - 0
MUN
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AUC
2 - 3
OLM
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
AUC
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 2
AUC
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
TEC
2 - 2
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
OLM
0 - 1
TEC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TEC
1 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
TEC
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TEC
1 - 1
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |