Aubel vs Mélen-Micheroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
15º
7º
33
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAU
1 - 0
HOM
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
EDF
1 - 2
RAU
32%
23%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DUG
2 - 2
RAU
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAU
2 - 0
BEA
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
JSF
1 - 1
RAU
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mélen-Micheroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 1
JSF
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 2
MEL
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
OUG
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SFR
0 - 0
MEL
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
WAN
3 - 1
MEL
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |