Provincial Lieja. Jor. 24

Aubel vs Mélen-Micheroux analysis

Aubel Mélen-Micheroux
31 ELO 25
-13.6% Tilt -13.8%
6041º General ELO ranking 10033º
141º Country ELO ranking 297º
ELO win probability
59.1%
Aubel
21.7%
Draw
19.2%
Mélen-Micheroux

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
Aubel
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.2%
Win probability
Mélen-Micheroux
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aubel
+24%
-54%
Mélen-Micheroux

Points and table prediction

Aubel
Their league position
Mélen-Micheroux
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
15º
33
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Elsautoise
66
69
100%
Wanze / Bas-Oha
59
62
100%
Malmundaria
49
52
100%
Ster-Francorchamps
43
46
100%
Hannutois
46
46
100%
FC Du Geer
45
45
100%
Aubel
44
44
100%
JS Fizoise
43
44
100%
Hombourg
39
40
59%
Beaufays
10º
39
40
10º
59%
FC Eupen
11º
37
37
11º
100%
UCE Liège
12º
34
37
12º
100%
Mélen-Micheroux
13º
33
33
13º
45%
Ougrée
14º
30
33
14º
45%
Etoile De Faimes
15º
23
24
15º
100%
Sprimont-Comblain II
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aubel
Mélen-Micheroux
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Aubel
Mélen-Micheroux
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aubel
Aubel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
RAU
Aubel
1 - 0
Hombourg
HOM
69%
18%
13%
31 22 9 0
05 Feb. 2023
EDF
Etoile De Faimes
1 - 2
Aubel
RAU
32%
23%
44%
30 23 7 +1
11 Dec. 2022
DUG
FC Du Geer
2 - 2
Aubel
RAU
38%
24%
39%
30 25 5 0
04 Dec. 2022
RAU
Aubel
2 - 0
Beaufays
BEA
56%
22%
22%
29 24 5 +1
26 Nov. 2022
JSF
JS Fizoise
1 - 1
Aubel
RAU
43%
25%
32%
28 27 1 +1

Matches

Mélen-Micheroux
Mélen-Micheroux
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
MEL
Mélen-Micheroux
3 - 1
JS Fizoise
JSF
38%
24%
38%
23 25 2 0
05 Feb. 2023
HOM
Hombourg
1 - 2
Mélen-Micheroux
MEL
48%
23%
29%
22 22 0 +1
19 Jan. 2023
MEL
Mélen-Micheroux
1 - 2
Ougrée
OUG
56%
22%
22%
23 19 4 -1
11 Dec. 2022
SFR
Ster-Francorchamps
0 - 0
Mélen-Micheroux
MEL
62%
20%
18%
23 26 3 0
20 Nov. 2022
WAN
Wanze / Bas-Oha
3 - 1
Mélen-Micheroux
MEL
63%
20%
17%
24 29 5 -1
X