National 3 Round 21

Aubagne vs Sportive Fréjusienne analysis

Aubagne Sportive Fréjusienne
40 ELO 42
0.3% Tilt -5.1%
1842º General ELO ranking 21617º
59º Country ELO ranking 511º
ELO win probability
47.8%
Aubagne
24.7%
Draw
27.5%
Sportive Fréjusienne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
Aubagne
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.5%
Win probability
Sportive Fréjusienne
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Aubagne
Sportive Fréjusienne
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aubagne
Aubagne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
GAR
Gardanne
1 - 6
Aubagne
AUB
30%
25%
45%
39 28 11 0
10 Mar. 2012
AUB
Aubagne
2 - 2
Vénissieux
VEN
59%
22%
20%
39 37 2 0
03 Mar. 2012
BAS
Bastia
0 - 0
Aubagne
AUB
83%
13%
4%
38 71 33 +1
25 Feb. 2012
AUB
Aubagne
3 - 0
Propriano
PRO
68%
18%
14%
38 28 10 0
18 Feb. 2012
AUB
Aubagne
2 - 0
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
EVI
53%
23%
24%
37 36 1 +1

Matches

Sportive Fréjusienne
Sportive Fréjusienne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
FRE
Sportive Fréjusienne
0 - 0
Saint-Priest
SAI
55%
24%
22%
42 37 5 0
10 Mar. 2012
FUR
Furiani Agliani
1 - 0
Sportive Fréjusienne
FRE
22%
24%
54%
44 28 16 -2
03 Mar. 2012
FRE
Sportive Fréjusienne
1 - 0
Sporting Toulon Var
SPO
48%
26%
27%
43 43 0 +1
25 Feb. 2012
FRE
Sportive Fréjusienne
1 - 0
Vénissieux
VEN
56%
24%
20%
42 39 3 +1
19 Feb. 2012
NIC
Nice II
0 - 1
Sportive Fréjusienne
FRE
34%
25%
41%
41 35 6 +1