Atyrau vs Zhenis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
11º
7º
25
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 0
ATY
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 1
ATY
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
SHA
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 1
FCA
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ATY
2 - 2
KAI
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zhenis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 0
KAI
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
FKZ
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 2
FCA
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 0
FKZ
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
FKZ
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |