Oberliga Baden-Württemberg Round 15

ATSV Mutschelbach vs TSG Backnang analysis

ATSV Mutschelbach TSG Backnang
34 ELO 30
10.3% Tilt 4.6%
48113º General ELO ranking 5381º
2401º Country ELO ranking 265º
ELO win probability
67.2%
ATSV Mutschelbach
16.7%
Draw
16.1%
TSG Backnang

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
ATSV Mutschelbach
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16.1%
Win probability
TSG Backnang
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

ATSV Mutschelbach
Their league position
TSG Backnang
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
14º
13º
42
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC 08 Villingen
72
72
100%
Göppinger SV
69
69
100%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
68
68
100%
CfR Pforzheim
64
64
100%
Nottingen
57
60
100%
FSV Hollenbach
49
49
63%
Normannia Gmünd
48
48
63%
TSV Essingen
46
46
100%
VfR Mannheim
43
43
59%
Oberachern
10º
42
42
10º
59%
TSG Backnang
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Ravensburg
13º
40
41
12º
22%
ATSV Mutschelbach
12º
41
41
13º
63%
Bissingen
15º
36
37
14º
37%
Reutlingen
14º
37
37
15º
37%
FC Holzhausen
16º
36
36
16º
59%
Denzlingen
17º
36
36
17º
59%
Offenburger FV
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
ATSV Mutschelbach
TSG Backnang
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
63% 100%
Relegation
37% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

ATSV Mutschelbach
TSG Backnang
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ATSV Mutschelbach
ATSV Mutschelbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
VIL
FC 08 Villingen
2 - 2
ATSV Mutschelbach
ATS
52%
20%
28%
36 37 1 0
14 Oct. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
3 - 1
TSV Essingen
TSV
86%
9%
5%
35 18 17 +1
07 Oct. 2023
OFF
Offenburger FV
1 - 1
ATSV Mutschelbach
ATS
19%
18%
63%
35 22 13 0
03 Oct. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
4 - 0
Ravensburg
RAV
63%
18%
20%
34 28 6 +1
30 Sep. 2023
FCH
FC Holzhausen
1 - 3
ATSV Mutschelbach
ATS
33%
21%
46%
33 27 6 +1

Matches

TSG Backnang
TSG Backnang
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
TSB
TSG Backnang
0 - 2
Göppinger SV
GOP
29%
23%
48%
31 41 10 0
14 Oct. 2023
REU
Reutlingen
0 - 1
TSG Backnang
TSB
36%
23%
41%
30 25 5 +1
07 Oct. 2023
VIL
FC 08 Villingen
4 - 0
TSG Backnang
TSB
65%
18%
17%
30 36 6 0
03 Oct. 2023
TSB
TSG Backnang
0 - 3
TSV Essingen
TSV
86%
9%
5%
31 16 15 -1
30 Sep. 2023
OFF
Offenburger FV
1 - 2
TSG Backnang
TSB
25%
22%
54%
30 22 8 +1