Oberliga Bayern Nord. Jor. 29

ATSV Erlangen vs ASV Cham analysis

ATSV Erlangen ASV Cham
28 ELO 24
1.2% Tilt 3.7%
6587º General ELO ranking 6129º
250º Country ELO ranking 227º
ELO win probability
53.9%
ATSV Erlangen
21.3%
Draw
24.8%
ASV Cham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
ATSV Erlangen
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.8%
Win probability
ASV Cham
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ATSV Erlangen
+8%
-24%
ASV Cham

Points and table prediction

ATSV Erlangen
Their league position
ASV Cham
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
18º
12º
49
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
ATSV Erlangen
ASV Cham
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ATSV Erlangen
ASV Cham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ATSV Erlangen
ATSV Erlangen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2023
WEI
Weiden
1 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
30%
22%
48%
26 20 6 0
06 Apr. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
1 - 3
Ammerthal
AMM
64%
19%
18%
27 21 6 -1
24 Mar. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
2 - 3
Feucht SC
FEU
66%
18%
16%
30 22 8 -3
18 Mar. 2023
TSV
TSV Abtswind
4 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
42%
23%
36%
32 30 2 -2
12 Mar. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
1 - 3
Bayern Hof
BAY
77%
14%
9%
33 20 13 -1

Matches

ASV Cham
ASV Cham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
ASV
ASV Cham
0 - 1
Eintracht Bamberg
EIN
21%
22%
58%
24 36 12 0
08 Apr. 2023
WUR
Würzburger FV
0 - 2
ASV Cham
ASV
44%
23%
34%
23 22 1 +1
25 Mar. 2023
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
3 - 3
ASV Cham
ASV
51%
22%
27%
24 25 1 -1
18 Mar. 2023
ASV
ASV Cham
3 - 0
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
75%
15%
10%
25 16 9 -1
15 Mar. 2023
SVD
SV Donaustauf
2 - 2
ASV Cham
ASV
69%
17%
14%
25 34 9 0
X