At. Venezuela vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
ATL
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ANZ
0 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
TUC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
TRU
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TRU
1 - 1
LAR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
TRU
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TRU
0 - 1
ZAM
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 1
TRU
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |