Atl. Tucumán vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ARG
2 - 1
ATT
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
JUV
3 - 1
ATT
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ATT
3 - 2
BOC
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
SLO
1 - 1
ATT
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
SMA
0 - 0
ATT
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
FER
4 - 1
JUV
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
BOC
3 - 0
FER
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
FER
4 - 0
SLO
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
GLP
2 - 2
FER
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
FER
1 - 2
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |