Atl. Tucumán vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ATT
0 - 4
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IRV
0 - 0
ATT
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
ATT
1 - 0
ALM
55%
27%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
ATT
0 - 0
ITA
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
ATT
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RAF
3 - 1
SMA
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 0
RAF
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RAF
2 - 1
SLO
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NOB
1 - 0
RAF
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
RAF
2 - 0
BAN
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |