Copa Peru Etapas Finales. Final
Global 2-3
Club Atletico Torino vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Atletico Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AUN
2 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SMC
2 - 0
ATL
6%
13%
81%
|
55 | 10 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 0
SMC
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 10 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
LOS
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AUN
2 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 1
AUN
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AUN
2 - 0
ALF
49%
22%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 1
LOS
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
AUN
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |