Riachense vs Pombal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PAM
2 - 1
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
CRA
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BOM
1 - 1
ATL
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 3
GDA
13%
21%
67%
|
18 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POM
1 - 1
SOU
47%
23%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 3
POM
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAM
3 - 2
POM
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
POM
3 - 0
CRA
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BOM
3 - 3
POM
23%
23%
55%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |