Riachense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDL
12%
21%
67%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 0
ATL
66%
18%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAR
16%
21%
64%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAF
5 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 0
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 0
FAT
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
2 - 3
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ADP
2 - 2
FAT
13%
20%
67%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
FAT
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |