Atletico Rafaela vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 0
RAF
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 2
BAN
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 2
RAF
37%
27%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
RAF
0 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
RAF
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 2
LAN
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
DYJ
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DYJ
2 - 1
ARS
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 1
DYJ
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 3
SLO
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |