Atlético Policial vs Instituto Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
POL
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
POL
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 1
POL
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Instituto Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
INS
4 - 2
SLO
16%
22%
61%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 0
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
INS
0 - 0
MIT
13%
21%
66%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 2
INS
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
INS
1 - 0
UNI
35%
24%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |