Atletico Piar vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Piar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
UCV
2 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 0
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
TRU
4 - 2
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 0
UCL
64%
20%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CDS
1 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAR
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LAR
4 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 1
YAR
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |