Athletico Paranaense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
ATP
1 - 1
PAY
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATP
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
AMF
2 - 2
ATP
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ATP
1 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
VOL
3 - 2
ATP
28%
26%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
SCI
1 - 2
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATP
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
SAO
3 - 1
FLU
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
49%
27%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |