Athletico Paranaense vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 1
ATP
12%
20%
68%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
1 - 2
ATP
12%
21%
67%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 2
TCW
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATP
30%
25%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
NPR
83%
12%
4%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LON
2 - 0
CIA
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
LON
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |