Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VAS
2 - 0
ATP
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 1
ATP
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ATP
0 - 0
JEC
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATP
68%
20%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ATP
3 - 0
GOI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
GRE
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 4
ECS
80%
16%
5%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
GOI
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 2
GRE
38%
28%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |