Athletico Paranaense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ATP
1 - 1
COT
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATP
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
ATP
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
ATP
4 - 1
BAH
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATP
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
LDU
64%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
FLU
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |