Apertura Playoffs . Final
Global 2-0
At. Nacional vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAS
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 0
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 1
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
SFE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
SFE
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 2
SFE
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |