At. Nacional vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
5 - 2
AGU
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HUI
2 - 2
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
AGU
4 - 0
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
48%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
JUN
4 - 2
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
CFC
0 - 0
SFE
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
SFE
2 - 0
MIL
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
SFE
2 - 1
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MIL
0 - 0
SFE
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
SFE
0 - 1
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |