At. Nacional vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 0
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
64%
23%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAS
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
34%
29%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CUC
1 - 3
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 3
MIL
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 0
BOG
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 0
PAT
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
HUI
1 - 1
PAT
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
PAT
3 - 1
EQU
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |