At. Nacional vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -5 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAS
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
SFE
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
ONC
4 - 2
ENV
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ENV
0 - 0
ALI
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AME
2 - 0
ENV
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 2
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
ENV
1 - 0
LEO
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |