At. Nacional vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHI
63%
20%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |