At. Nacional vs Internacional de Palmira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BUC
2 - 2
NAC
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
FOR
54%
25%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
COR
0 - 1
AGU
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
COR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |