At. Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
SFE
0 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 0
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
PAS
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PAS
0 - 1
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAS
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
PAS
0 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |