Atlético Marbellí vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marbellí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDC
4 - 1
ATL
71%
17%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
POR
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
ATL
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 4
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ELP
1 - 3
ATL
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NER
2 - 4
MIJ
34%
24%
42%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
3 - 0
NER
58%
21%
21%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NER
1 - 2
CDL
8%
16%
76%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CDT
2 - 0
NER
82%
13%
5%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NER
1 - 2
PTO
6%
14%
80%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |