At. Malagueño vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
52.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAL
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
MAL
1 - 2
TRO
5%
13%
82%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAL
0 - 2
DBN
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAL
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAL
0 - 1
BAL
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UCA
2 - 0
ALM
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JUM
1 - 3
UCA
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UCA
1 - 5
REC
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UCA
1 - 3
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
DBN
1 - 1
UCA
15%
28%
57%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |