At. Malagueño vs UD San Pedro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
6 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NIJ
3 - 0
MAL
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAL
14%
23%
64%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
NER
0 - 0
MAL
20%
24%
55%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
UD San Pedro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UDS
2 - 1
HUE
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 5
UDS
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UDS
2 - 1
MOT
46%
25%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 2
UDS
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UDS
3 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |