Tercera Division Andalusia and Melilla Round 15

At. Malagueño vs Guadix CF analysis

At. Malagueño Guadix CF
41 ELO 29
9.9% Tilt -12.4%
4185º General ELO ranking 10821º
129º Country ELO ranking 804º
ELO win probability
75.3%
At. Malagueño
15.5%
Draw
9.1%
Guadix CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
At. Malagueño
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.1%
Win probability
Guadix CF
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
At. Malagueño
+19%
+14%
Guadix CF

ELO progression

At. Malagueño
Guadix CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

At. Malagueño
At. Malagueño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2015
UDS
UD San Pedro
0 - 0
At. Malagueño
MAL
29%
26%
45%
41 33 8 0
15 Nov. 2015
MAL
At. Malagueño
2 - 1
Mancha Real
MAN
80%
14%
6%
40 29 11 +1
08 Nov. 2015
MAL
At. Malagueño
3 - 0
Maracena
MAR
83%
12%
5%
40 23 17 0
31 Oct. 2015
ALQ
Español de Alquián
0 - 3
At. Malagueño
MAL
17%
23%
60%
40 21 19 0
25 Oct. 2015
MAL
At. Malagueño
1 - 3
Vélez CF
VEL
76%
15%
9%
41 29 12 -1

Matches

Guadix CF
Guadix CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2015
GUA
Guadix CF
3 - 0
Español de Alquián
ALQ
73%
17%
10%
30 18 12 0
15 Nov. 2015
VEL
Vélez CF
1 - 2
Guadix CF
GUA
52%
25%
24%
29 32 3 +1
08 Nov. 2015
GUA
Guadix CF
3 - 2
Los Villares CF
VIL
49%
25%
26%
28 27 1 +1
01 Nov. 2015
PAL
El Palo FC
4 - 1
Guadix CF
GUA
76%
16%
9%
29 42 13 -1
25 Oct. 2015
GUA
Guadix CF
1 - 0
Alhaurín de la Torre
ALH
54%
23%
23%
29 25 4 0