At. Malagueño vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
EXT
2 - 0
MAL
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 4
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
AGU
1 - 0
MAL
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 3
CDL
31%
28%
42%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SEV
1 - 0
MAL
60%
23%
16%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AGD
3 - 1
GRA
48%
29%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CER
0 - 0
AGD
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
POR
0 - 2
AGD
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 1
EXT
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 1
AGD
38%
30%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |