Atlético vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
REC
1 - 3
ATM
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ATM
2 - 1
SLA
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 4
ATM
24%
24%
53%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
ATM
0 - 2
LEG
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
RCF
1 - 1
ATM
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
SPO
0 - 1
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ELC
1 - 0
SPO
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
SPO
3 - 0
CCF
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
ALB
1 - 2
SPO
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
SPO
2 - 1
NUM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |