UCL Group E Round 6

Atlético vs Lazio analysis

Atlético Lazio
93 ELO 92
-2.2% Tilt 1.1%
General ELO ranking 17º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.4%
Atlético
23.9%
Draw
31.7%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
Atlético
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.7%
Win probability
Lazio
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético
-6%
-5%
Lazio

ELO progression

Atlético
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético
Atlético
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2023
ATM
Atlético
2 - 1
Almería
ALM
78%
15%
7%
93 79 14 0
03 Dec. 2023
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Atlético
ATM
53%
24%
24%
93 94 1 0
28 Nov. 2023
FEY
Feyenoord
1 - 3
Atlético
ATM
29%
24%
47%
93 89 4 0
25 Nov. 2023
ATM
Atlético
1 - 0
Mallorca
MLL
74%
17%
9%
93 84 9 0
12 Nov. 2023
ATM
Atlético
3 - 1
Villarreal
VIL
58%
22%
20%
92 89 3 +1

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
VER
Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
21%
23%
57%
93 85 8 0
05 Dec. 2023
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
Genoa
GEN
77%
16%
8%
93 86 7 0
02 Dec. 2023
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
77%
16%
7%
93 83 10 0
28 Nov. 2023
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Celtic
CEL
79%
14%
7%
93 81 12 0
25 Nov. 2023
SAL
Salernitana
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
18%
22%
60%
93 83 10 0