Atlético vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RSO
0 - 2
ATM
29%
29%
42%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
25%
24%
52%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ATM
1 - 2
SLB
67%
20%
12%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATM
31%
28%
41%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 0
GET
76%
17%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AST
2 - 1
ORD
63%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ATY
0 - 1
AST
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
AST
2 - 2
GAL
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FCI
2 - 1
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
AST
1 - 1
FCA
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |