Pref. Asturias Round 20

Atlético de Lugones vs Navarro analysis

Atlético de Lugones Navarro
15 ELO 20
-8.2% Tilt -17%
15103º General ELO ranking 10855º
3635º Country ELO ranking 871º
ELO win probability
29.3%
Atlético de Lugones
23.8%
Draw
46.8%
Navarro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
Atlético de Lugones
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.9%
Win probability
Navarro
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético de Lugones
+8%
-15%
Navarro

ELO progression

Atlético de Lugones
Navarro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético de Lugones
Atlético de Lugones
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
COM
Unión Comercial
1 - 2
Atlético de Lugones
ATL
67%
18%
15%
15 18 3 0
14 Jan. 2024
ATL
Atlético de Lugones
2 - 3
Universidad Oviedo
UNI
38%
24%
38%
16 16 0 -1
07 Jan. 2024
AND
Andés
3 - 0
Atlético de Lugones
ATL
41%
27%
32%
16 17 1 0
17 Dec. 2023
ATL
Atlético de Lugones
1 - 3
La Fresneda
FRE
47%
23%
30%
18 16 2 -2
10 Dec. 2023
AST
Astur
2 - 0
Atlético de Lugones
ATL
57%
23%
20%
18 21 3 0

Matches

Navarro
Navarro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2024
NAV
Navarro
1 - 0
Valdesoto
VAL
45%
26%
29%
18 17 1 0
14 Jan. 2024
MUR
Muros Balompié
0 - 1
Navarro
NAV
62%
19%
19%
18 20 2 0
07 Jan. 2024
COM
Unión Comercial
1 - 1
Navarro
NAV
52%
21%
27%
18 18 0 0
17 Dec. 2023
NAV
Navarro
2 - 0
Universidad Oviedo
UNI
39%
26%
36%
17 16 1 +1
10 Dec. 2023
AND
Andés
2 - 1
Navarro
NAV
32%
25%
42%
17 17 0 0