Atlético Libertad vs Mures CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
42.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+224%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
6 - 0
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CJA
2 - 2
ATL
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAL
89%
7%
3%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
TRI
1 - 1
ATL
15%
17%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 0
RIN
83%
10%
7%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mures CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 1
PIL
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAL
44%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 0
CJA
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 3
MUR
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 1
TRI
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |