Atletico Jareño vs Cristo Minglanilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Jareño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
OMA
2 - 2
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AJA
0 - 0
TAR
49%
24%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BON
1 - 5
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
ALP
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
HEL
3 - 1
AJA
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cristo Minglanilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CMG
6 - 1
MAH
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
HIG
0 - 0
CMG
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CMG
2 - 0
MDC
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CMG
4 - 2
OMA
55%
22%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TAR
1 - 1
CMG
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |